12 January, 2011

Financial-Military-Industrial-Religio Complex

Catherine Lim: God And The Big Bang

I see you’re particularly excited about something. What is it you want to ask of Me this time? Let me guess (though I don’t have to). You want me to turn the clock back and change the Copenhagen Summit from the dismal failure it was to the resounding success everyone was hoping for

No, God. I don’t want to talk about Copenhagen. I want to talk about Geneva.

Geneva? Now listen, if there’s going to be another world conference there about global warming or poverty or oil—

Hey, God, I didn’t think You needed to ever use the conditional ‘if’. After all, You are omni-everything!

Alright, what about Geneva

It’s this huge project there called the Large Hadron Collider.

What about it.

God, LHC is the biggest scientific experiment of all time! It’s huge. It cost billions of dollars. It operates at 456 degrees below zero Fahrenheit. It’s simply unbelievable! All the world’s greatest scientists are talking about it and watching it—

Alright, what exactly are you getting at.

It wants to find out what happened at the moment of the Big Bang.

So?

Don’t you see, God, it wants to find out what happened at the dawn of creation, 13 billion years ago. It can do this by making streams of protons collide with each other at the near speed of light,and then seeing what particles come out.

So?

God, these particles are the very first to mark the birth of the universe! The scientists want to set up a rival to the Biblical story of the creation of the world!

They will never do that.

They already have, God. By discovering DNA, they have cracked the code of the biological world of life, and through LHC, they will crack the code of the physical world of matter. God, don’t you see that step by step, they are unlocking the secrets of the universe, and encroaching on Your territory! Nothing will be a mystery anymore, God, and You know that Mystery is Your game.

They will never take away My Mystery. And you know why? Even if they manage to reveal the secrets of the Big Bang, they will never be able to answer this question: Who created the Big Bang? It always comes back to Me, you see. I am First Cause and Prime Mover. Nothing can change that.

Pardon me, God, but aren’t You in the least worried that Your function will soon be reduced to this one act of starting the Big Bang, when once You had dominion over every aspect of human life on earth? You might not have presided over the death of every sparrow in the air or the growth of every lily in the field, but everyone believed that diseases like leprosy were caused by Your displeasure, everyone feared Your angry thunderbolts. Even today many believe that natural disasters such as earthquakes are Your punishment for man’s sinfulness, despite what seismologists tell them about tectonic activities in the earth’s crust and so on—

That’s exactly what I’m telling you. Science, however sophisticated its methods, will never succeed in eradicating this belief in Me and My power. Even if they succeed with this LHC, even if they provide all the proof of a Big Bang in a self-originating, self-sustaining universe, they will never stop people from believing in Me, praying to Me, depending on Me. Because the human species, right from the beginning, was programmed to believe in Me. You may say that there is a God centre in each human brain. It’s necessary for human survival.

Maybe you are right, God. Even the scientists don’t seem able to leave You out of their research. They call the ultimate particle they’re looking for, the ‘God Particle’ instead of the ‘Higgs Boson’—I’m sure Professor Higgs must be pretty sore about that! Even Einstein must have believed in divine will and purpose, for he said, ‘God does not play dice with the world.’ Stephen Hawking says that ultimately all search into the universe’s secrets will lead to the ‘mind of God’.

I’m glad you’re seeing some light at last.

You know, God, the scientists could be pretending to use God language so as not to offend those who are in charge of making recommendations for the enormous funding for their research—

If you’re that skeptical—Anyway, what exactly did you want to see Me about, this time?

Well, never mind, God.


12 January 2011

04 January, 2011

USA - Sick Man Of The Globe

Aljazeera: Capital's war against WikiLeaks

by Mark Levine

When your Swiss banker throws you overboard, you know you've made some very powerful enemies.

Long famed for hiding money for everyone from Nazis and drug lords to spies and dictators, the Swiss government's banking arm has decided that WikiLeaks and Julian Assange are just too hot even for it to handle.

And so the PostFinance, which runs the country's banks, declared in early December that it had "ended its business relationship with WikiLeaks founder Julian Paul Assange" after accusing Mr. Assange of - gasp! - providing false information about his place of residence.

This move followed similar moves by credit card companies MasterCard and Visa, as well as PayPal and Amazon.com, to no longer process WikiLeaks payments and, in Amazon.com's case, to cease hosting its data.

As I write this, Bank of America has joined the crescendo of corporations taking aim at WikiLeaks, refusing to process payments for it any longer because of "our reasonable belief that WikiLeaks may be engaged in activities that are, among other things, inconsistent with our internal policies for processing payments."

And soon after, none other than Apple joined the chorus, pulling the plug on a WikiLeaks app only days after it went on sale on its iTunes website. Every sector of the corporate economy, it seems, is out to get WikiLeaks.

Zeroing in on "neocorporatism"

Should CIA agents, mafia bosses and other fellow Swiss banking customers who have likely been even less than forthright in their personal representations than Assange is alleged to have been also worry about the loyalty and discretion of their Swiss bankers?

Probably not. And that's because the world's criminals, autocrats and spooks are very much part of the global political economic system, even if sometimes on opposite sides.

But WikiLeaks both operates outside the system, seeking "Matrix"-style, to use technology - the internet - to "destroy" it by prying it open to public scrutiny, exposing the constant conspiracies of the powerful against the rest of society.

This task, Assange argues, is the most important way to help free the system's millions of often complicit - if not quite willing - victims and in so doing, "change or remove... government and neocorporatist behaviour".

As a political theorist, Assange leaves something to be desired. "Neocorporatism" describes a system in which capital and labour are enmeshed in an integrated but ultimately dependent relationship with a powerful and autonomous state apparatus - an update of the triangular relationship that enabled unprecedented economic growth and gains for the working class in the West in the decades after World War II.

Ideologically, this kind of close working relationship between government, big business and organised labour is the antithesis of the neoliberal system WikiLeaks seeks to combat.

But Assange is right that there is something "neo", if not exactly new, in the way the corporate sector is behaving today and its relationship with government. It lies in the embrace - or better, re-embrace - of finance capitalism and militaristic empire and the military industrial complex that sustains it.

Whether preying on unwitting consumers in middle America or preying on suspected insurgents in the Middle East, these are two of the most secretive sectors of the American economy. They depend on the public knowing as little as possible about their inner workings to secure the greatest possible freedom of action, power and profits.



The power of secrecy

Assage's abandonment by the Swiss banking system and its American corporate cousins is thus not surprising. Few industries have used secrecy and lack of disclosure more effectively than the banking, financial services and credit card industries.

Indeed, their secretive business practises are central to their constant ability to rake in enormous profits at the expense of working and middle class Americans through monopolising trading systems, charging morally usurious interest rates and fees, and engaging in other practises that would make even the most cold-hearted lone shark blush.

If the grand bargain between workers, capitalists and governments enabled the first two post-World War II generations to move from high school right into the middle class, this road was irreparably damaged by the 1980s, when the neoliberal Right first came to power.

As the United States entered its long and painful era of deindustrialization American foreign policy became more aggressively militaristic; and so joining the military as opposed to GM or Ford became one of the few routes to secure any kind of stable economic future (as long as you stayed in the military).

Not surprisingly, profits from the financial sector surpassed that of manufacturing in the early 1990s and haven't dropped since. But these profits and the economic growth they generated have relied disproportionately on government and consumer debt and a hollowing out of the manufacturing sector, which together helped make the US the "sick man of the globe", as one senior corporate economist.

For their part, GM, Ford and Chrysler simultaneously focused most of their energies on producing comparatively profitable gas-guzzlers like SUVs while establishing financial services arms that quickly became responsible for a substantial share of their profits (in some years upwards of 90 percent of profits are so derived).

Their lending practises, it's worth noting, included the kinds of "liar" home loans, given out with little concern over the ability of borrowers to pay them, that precipitated the global economic crisis of 2007 till today.



Financialisation and history

None of these practises would have withstood the light of public scrutiny, and it was only the corporatisation - in good measure, financialization - of American politics that allowed them to flourish in the last thirty years. Few enterprises threaten that secrecy as much as WikiLeaks and its laser-like focus on openness, which is why its actions are viewed in Washington as "striking at the very heart of the global economy".

The "financialisation" of the economy represents the increasing dominance of the financial industries in the overall economy, taking over "the dominant economic, cultural, and political role in a national economy".

Crucially, this process isn't unique to the United States; it also happened to previous empires, like the Hapsburg's, Dutch and British empires, at precisely the eras they lost their dominant global position. In all cases, financialism and militarism went hand in hand, as first pointed out by the British historian John Hobson's famous 1902 book Imperialism: A Study.

In it, Hobson argued that the monopolisation of the financial sector created a new oligarchy that linked together the large banks and industrial firms together with "war mongers and speculators" which encouraged imperialism to secure markets for the surplus products produced by corporations.

America's rise to global dominance came after the end of the imperial era and so it couldn't blatantly conquer territory to create new markets. But at the moment of its rise policy makers called on the government to use high military spending to ensure overall robust economic growth.

This coincided with rapid expansion of easily obtainable credit, creating two "giant black holes" (in the words of Israeli economists Shimshon Bichler and Jonathan Nitzan) whose potential for expansion was limited only by the willingness of citizens to support the policies that enabled them, despite the long term harm to the economic and political well-being of their societies.

During the first thirty years of the Cold War era, the propensity towards militarism was balanced by the robust manufacturing economy and the tripartite business-labour-government relationship that secured it.

This began to change in the 1970s, when the hugely expensive, and profitable, Vietnam War began to wind down.

As Nitzan and Bichler describe in their hugely important book, The Global Political Economy of Israel, beginning in this period "there was a growing convergence of interests between the world's leading petroleum and armament corporations. The politicisation of oil, together with the parallel commercialisation of arms exports, helped shape an uneasy weapondollar-petrodollar coalition between these companies."

What is most crucial about Nitzan and Bichler's analysis is that one of the most important ways that the arms and oil industries were able to earn a disproportionate (as they describe it, "differential") level of profits was through the regular eruption of Middle Eastern energy conflicts, which ensured both relative high oil prices and arms purchases.



McDonald's and McDonnell Douglas

As this process developed, the authors explain that "the lines separating state from capital, foreign policy from corporate strategy, and territorial conquest from differential profit, no longer seem very solid."

New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman puts it more colourfully: "The hidden hand of the market will never work without the hidden fist. McDonald's cannot flourish without McDonnell Douglas - and the hidden fist that keeps the world safe for Silicon Valley's technologies to flourish is called the US Army, Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps."

This is the "neocorporatism" that Assange and his WikiLeaks comrades have zeroed in on, although today, more than a decade after Friedman wrote the above words, Master Card is more relevant than McDonald's.

The problem is that WikiLeaks alone cannot turn the tide in this conflict.

Assange might well be a "high tech terrorist," as US Vice President Joseph Biden recently called him, given how much terror his actions have struck in the heart of the American political system.

But the US is ultimately only one of a group of powerful countries and corporations whose leaders all share a fundamental commitment to securing as much profit and power as possible for themselves, however much their methods and politics differ.

Indeed, a sober look at the relevant data reveals that the profit share of the financial sectors outside the US has almost always been significantly higher than in the US, meaning that the rest of the world has long been more "financialised" than has the US economy.

As always, capitalism and power have never been as conveniently centred in one country or region as people imagine.

To really have an impact, WikiLeaks needs to inspire a whole generation of leakers in other countries and cultures, who are as willing to risk their freedom as Assange and the other people behind WikiLeaks. The leak culture has started to take root, however only time will tell if it resists the forces working against it's development.

If this doesn't happen - if Assange and his comrades are successfully made into examples by their corporate and political enemies that scare off those who might be inspired by their example - Capital will likely win the world's first "cyber-war", much as it's won most every war before it during modernity's long, bloody and unimaginably profitable history.



 04 January 2011

31 December, 2010

Law Abiding Citizens


SBHEU - Singapore Business Houses Employees Union
BERSATU - Singapore Association of Trade Union

Found the above union member's badge at my parents' home belonging to my father. Brought back memories when i showed it to him. My father has been a law abiding citizen. First, of the British Empire, then of the Federation of Malaya and now of the Republic of Singapore. He provided for the family. Never smoke, never drink, besides the occasional 4D/TOTO bets, is not a gambling addict.

And yet, i cannot help but felt a sense of fear when i was deciding whether to put up the picture of this now defunct union badge onto my blog. You see, as a citizen of Singapore for forty years of my life, i am so conditioned to practise "self censorship".

I do not know what came over me today. But i think it started on that Thursday, i was at the bus terminal waiting for about half an hour, by then the queue had snaked well over the length of the railing and intrude onto the walkway and it seemed to threaten to invade the opposite bus queue. By the time i boarded the bus, all the seats were taken and so i proceeded to the rear. The last row of seats were fully occupied. There was a family comprising of a little girl and her parents. They had luggage, probably going home to Johor Bahru across the causeway. The family occupied a corner of the last row with the dad seated facing the aisle, a burly man. I thought it was rather considerate of him, because the family of three plus the bulky luggage only took three seats. The bag was "seated" in between the mom and pop whereas the little lass was seated awkwardly on the mom's lap as well as onto what was remaining of the corner seat. He could have given his family ample room by placing the luggage in front of him by the aisle, thereby taking up "standing space", or even better, took up four seats.

By this time, the "ground crew" ( i do not know what to call them) from the bus company were waving for the standing passengers to move to the rear so that more can come onboard. I complied. Trying to balance standing at the slightly slopped tail end of the bus, almost coming onto contact with the man's knees. I think i have done my best for the share holders of this bus company.

There was this man who was standing next to me, he was not so law abiding. Maybe he did not benefit from forty years of Singapore upbringing. Bring back memories of squeezing onto military three-tonners during national service days, the consequence of which could be dire if you did not comply. He ignored the instruction of the bus company employees. I do not know why, right there, i felt that i have never felt like this before. In the past, i would view this fellow with disdain. Inconsiderate behaviour. This time, to put it simply, i supported his action.

I do not have many friends but i dare say that all of them are law abiding citizens as far as i know. Those very close ones were from my secondary and polytechnic school days. I know of three law abiding citizens of Singapore as my very good friends.


Law abiding friend #01

A friend from my Polytechnic school days. Technically inclined and liked to dabble in computer software, the goto guy for my "FORTRAN programming" tutorials. A project leader, worked hard and got distinction for the final year project.

National Service: Army, Service Support ( down-graded due to an episode of spontaneous pneumothorax)

After NS found work in the manufacturing sector in the area of software testing function. Worked and studied part-time in the National University of Singapore, obtained an engineering bachalor's degree. He would go back to the office to conduct conference call with his overseas counterpart in the wee hours. Tight project date-lines were a given during those boom times. Non-smoker, non-drinker. Remain single till today.

Age: 41 years old
Status: Retrenched.


Law abiding friend #02

Also a fellow class mate at the polytechnic. A talent for art. Did okay for his results.

National Service: Combat, Artillery

First job worked for a while with a hard disk manufacturing plant. Through good fortune found work in a field of his forte - Technical Illustration ! He poured himself into the work. With cumulative experienced in technical illustration for 15 years ( 7 years in the first company subsequently moving to the next and rose to senior position) Was dispatched to Tokyo for a couple of years for work assignment. Worked day and night and on weekends. Projects, dead line, projects, dead line ...

The last two years he suffered hypertension and was down for a period due to kidney stones. Non-smoker, and yes, dispite going to Japan, he remained a non-drinker. Single.

Age: 40 years old
Status: Retrenched.

He paid for his dad's Prostate cancer treatment through his Medisave (the father was a taxi-driver) whom had since pass on. Now, he is paying for his mom's diabetes, glucoma treatment and medication...

Currently undergoing "retraining" in the field of horticulture and landscaping. I hate to see him waste his talent to spend the remaining rest of his life as a landscaping labourer. Hope he can take up the mouse again maybe as a landscaping artist. But he express reservations, with his carpal tunnel condition, he dreaded working with the mouse again, i think only professionals in their field would understand. Has been taking up yoga and Tai-Chi (for the later, he wanted to make sure the mom get some exercise and that is why he is doing it and bringing her along)


Law abiding friend #03

A secondary school friend whom we still meet up during Chinese New Year class gathering. Went to a diferent polytechnic.

National Service: Combat, Navy

After NS, found work in the manufacturing sector, also a computer nut. Put himself through part-time studies finally obtaining a bachelor's degree in computer science. Married with three kids. After moving away from manufacturing found work in the IT sector. Initially was for a permanent position, then later worked on a contract basis, moving from site to site till now...non-smoker, non-drinker.

Age: 40 years old
Status: Express worry that this time round his contract will not be renewed.


31 December 2010

30 December, 2010

With money you can do many things ...


Photographs of suspicious death ignite fury in China after going viral on the Internet

BEIJING - The photographs are so graphic that they appear cartoonish at first glance: A man crushed under the tyre of a truck, his head detached from his flattened spinal cord.

The pictures of Mr Qian Yunhui, 53, have gone viral in China, with hundreds of thousands of people viewing the images online since the weekend. And they accuse officials of gruesomely killing Mr Qian to silence his six-year campaign to protect fellow villagers in a land dispute.

Illegal land seizures by officials are common in China but the horrific photographs of Mr Qian's death on Saturday have ignited widespread fury. It is the latest in a string of cases in which anger against the government has been fanned by the lightning-fast spread of the Internet.

Officials in the city of Yueqing in Zhejiang province, which supervises Mr Qian's home village, insist that the photographs show nothing more than an unfortunate traffic accident, making their case in a hastily-arranged news conference on Monday.

Mr Qian's family, some Chinese reporters and residents of Zhaiqiao Village cite the photographs as proof of foul play and a sloppy cover-up.

In 2004, the city government approved construction of a power plant in Zhaiqiao Village. The company building the plant got virtually all the arable land in the village and the 4,000 or so villagers received no compensation, according to a blog post written four months ago under Mr Qian's name.

At the time, Mr Qian and other villagers went to government offices to protest against the land grab. Riot police officers beat more than 130 people and arrested 72.

Mr Qian, the former Communist Party representative in the village, travelled to Beijing to file a petition with the central authorities. In the news conference on Monday, city officials said that Mr Qian had been arrested, found guilty of criminal conduct and imprisoned at least twice.

Mr Qian continued his crusade after recently being released from prison. According to local media reports, he was the overwhelming favourite of the villagers in a coming election for village chief before his death.


IT WAS MURDER, WITNESS CLAIMS

Around 8.30am on Saturday, Mr Qian received a call on his mobile phone and walked out as he was talking, his wife Wang Zhaoyan was quoted as saying.

An hour later, he was run over by the truck, his body crushed beneath the left front tyre. The driver has been detained, according to the Yueqing city government.

Chinese news reports said another villager, Mr Qian Chengwei, told people that he had watched the victim being held down on the road by several men wearing security uniforms. One of the men then waved his hand and a truck drove slowly over Mr Qian.

Villagers arriving at the scene were immediately suspicious. They refused to allow the police to remove Mr Qian's body and a scuffle ensued.

Government officials told the Guangdong-based newspaper Southern Daily that the witness was a drug user. The paper also reported that the witness and the victim's family members were detained, though subsequent reports say Mr Qian's family members have been released.

Internet users and Chinese reporters have continued to question the explanation by city officials, pointing to discrepancies revealed by the photos. Why does the front of the truck show little sign of impact or blood? Why, if Mr Qian had been accidentally hit while walking upright, is his body lying completely perpendicular to the truck's tyre? Why was a brand-new security camera at the intersection where he died not working on Saturday? Who called Mr Qian that fateful morning?

"A few years ago, there were other people petitioning with my dad," family member Qian Shuangping told China Business Daily. "Some of them were bought off. Some of them got scared. We said, 'Just take some money and forget it. What if something happens to you?' My father wouldn't listen to us." The New York Times

... and that includes murder.

30 December 2010


Chuiew Kong Lum Pah Song

TodayOnline: America's political class struggle comes to a head

With their backs against the wall, working-class and poor Americans will begin to agitate for social justice

by Jeffrey D Sachs
(Jeffrey D Sachs is Professor of Economics and Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. He is also Special Adviser to the United Nations Secretary-General on the Millennium Development Goals. This commentary is exclusive to Today in Singapore.)
 
America is on a collision course with itself.

This month's deal between President Barack Obama and the Republicans in Congress to extend the tax cuts initiated a decade ago by President George W Bush is being hailed as the start of a new bipartisan consensus. I believe, instead, that it is a false truce in what will become a pitched battle for the soul of American politics.

As in many countries, conflicts over public morality and national strategy come down to questions of money. In the United States, this is truer than ever. The US is running an annual Budget deficit of around US$1 trillion ($1.3 trillion), which may widen further as a result of the new tax agreement. This level of annual borrowing is far too high for comfort. It must be cut, but how?

The problem is America's corrupted politics and loss of civic morality. One political party, the Republicans, stands for little except tax cuts, which they place above any other goal. The Democrats have a bit wider set of interests, including support for health care, education, training, and infrastructure. But, like the Republicans, the Democrats, too, are keen to shower tax cuts on their major campaign contributors, predominantly rich Americans.

The result is a dangerous paradox. The Budget deficit is enormous and unsustainable. The poor are squeezed by cuts in social programmes and a weak job market. One in eight Americans depends on Food Stamps to eat. Yet, despite these circumstances, one political party wants to gut tax revenues altogether, and the other is easily dragged along, against its better instincts, out of concern for keeping its rich contributors happy.

This tax-cutting frenzy comes, incredibly, after three decades of elite fiscal rule in the US that has favoured the rich and powerful. Since Ronald Reagan became President in 1981, America's Budget system has been geared to supporting the accumulation of vast wealth at the top of the income distribution.

Amazingly, the richest 1 per cent of American households now has a higher net worth than the bottom 90 per cent. The annual income of the richest 12,000 households is greater than that of the poorest 24 million households.

The Republican Party's real game is to try to lock that income and wealth advantage into place. They fear, rightly, that sooner or later everyone else will begin demanding that the Budget deficit be closed in part by raising taxes on the rich. After all, the rich are living better than ever, while the rest of American society is suffering. It makes sense to tax them more.

The Republicans are out to prevent that by any means. This month, they succeeded, at least for now. But they want to follow up their tactical victory - which postpones the restoration of pre-Bush tax rates for a couple of years - with a longer-term victory next spring. Their leaders in Congress are already declaring that they will slash public spending in order to begin reducing the deficit.

Ironically, there is one area in which large Budget cuts are certainly warranted: The military. But that is the one item most Republicans won't touch. They want to slash the Budget not by ending the useless war in Afghanistan, and by eliminating unnecessary weapons systems, but by cutting education, health, and other benefits for the poor and working class.


CORRUPTION IS STAGGERING

In the end, I don't think they will succeed.

For the moment, most Americans seem to be going along with Republican arguments that it is better to close the Budget deficit through spending cuts rather than tax increases. Yet when the actual Budget proposals are made, there will be a growing backlash. With their backs against the wall, I predict, poor and working-class Americans will begin to agitate for social justice.

This may take time. The level of political corruption in America is staggering. Everything now is about money to run electoral campaigns, which have become incredibly expensive. The mid-term elections cost an estimated US$4.5 billion, with most of the contributions coming from big corporations and rich contributors. These powerful forces, many of which operate anonymously under US law, are working relentlessly to defend those at the top of the income distribution.

But make no mistake: Both parties are implicated. There is already talk that Mr Obama will raise US$1 billion or more for his re-election campaign. That sum will not come from the poor.

The problem for the rich is that, other than military spending, there is no place to cut the Budget other than in areas of core support for the poor and working class. Is America really going to cut health benefits and retirement income?

Will it really balance the Budget by slashing education spending at a time when US students already are being out-performed by their Asian counterparts? Will America really let its public infrastructure continue to deteriorate?

The rich will try to push such an agenda but ultimately they will fail.

Mr Obama swept to power on the promise of change. So far there has been none. His administration is filled with Wall Street bankers. His top officials leave to join the banks, as his Budget Director Peter Orszag recently did. He is always ready to serve the interests of the rich and powerful, with no line in the sand, no limit to "compromise".

If this continues, a third party will emerge, committed to cleaning up American politics and restoring a measure of decency and fairness. This, too, will take time. The political system is deeply skewed against challenges to the two incumbent parties.

Yet the time for change will come. The Republicans believe that they have the upper hand and can pervert the system further in favour of the rich. I believe that they will be proved wrong. Project Syndicate


Saying just, to satisfy your testicles
 
30 December 2010

29 December, 2010

It is set in motion ...

Earnings drop for 2nd consecutive quarter

By Leong Sze Hian for TOC

I refer to the Ministry of Manpower’s (MOM) Labour Market Third Quarter 2010 Report. Earnings Average (Mean) Monthly Nominal Earnings Singapore $ Per Employee, has continued to fall from $4,310 to $3,819 and $3,754, for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd Qtrs, respectively.

With the economy booming and expected to be the fastest growing in the world at 15 per cent GDP growth, and media reports reporting that the job market is bursting at the seams, why has earnings continued to fall for the second consecutive quarter?

Since we are talking about Average (Mean) Earnings, what is the median earnings?

Normally, as in the past, media earnings may be lower than mean earnings?

So, although the annual growth rate was 5.4 per cent, with inflation hitting 3.8 per cent in November, which is the highest since January 2009, (“S’pore’s inflation hits highest level since Jan 2009”, Channel News Asia, Dec 23), we may yet end the year, with a third consecutive year of negative real median wage increase.


Unemployment

Mature residents aged 40 & over continued to form the largest group of resident job seekers (24,000 or 45%). As to long-term unemployment, the majority (67%) of them were mature residents age 40 & over.

For Residents Made Redundant, the occupational group, Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians (PMETS) formed the largest group, at 51.7 per cent.

By educational attainment, those with a degree, formed the largest group, at 29.9 per cent.

By age group, age 40 & over formed the largest group, at 51.8 per cent.

Sinced the data on residents made redundant pertain to private sector establishments each with at least 25 employees and the public sector, the number made redundant may be more if we include private sector establishments with less than 25 employees.

The number of workers placed on short-week or temporary lay-off rose to 410 in the third quarter, from 290 in the second quarter.

Similarly, the above excludes less than 25 employee establishments.



Re-employment

For re-employment, the improvement over the quarter was for all groups, except for residents with diploma or other professional qualifications whose re-employment rate declined from 64% to 60%.


Business outlook

The business outlook has softened. For example, a smaller net weighted balance of 3% of manufacturers expect improvement in the next six months, down from 18% in the quarter’s survey.

In summary, the above statistics may indicate that perhaps things are not as rosy as most media reports have portrayed, particularly for older and more educated residents on a relative basis.

29 December 2010

17 December, 2010

Rewriting History


So Republican members of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission are going to issue their own report, placing primary blame on the government — because it’s always the government’s fault.

And according to reporting at the Huffington Post, all four Republicans voted in favor of banning the phrases “Wall Street” and “shadow banking” and the words “interconnection” and “deregulation” from the panel’s final report, according to a person familiar with the matter and confirmed by Brooksley E. Born, one of the six commissioners who voted against the proposal.

Yep. It was all Fannie and Freddie, which somehow managed to cause housing bubbles in Ireland, Iceland, Latvia, and Spain as well as the United States; and the repo market had nothing to do with it.

And bear in mind that this wasn’t one Republican; it was all of them.

I really do wonder how this country can remain governable, when one party insists on creating its own reality. Next thing you know they’re going to reject the theory of evolution. Oh, wait …


Orwell and the Financial Crisis

"... The same thing happened with Social Security privatization. There was a long effort by conservative groups to promote privatization, a term they themselves devised. ... But then, when it turned out that the term polled badly, they began rewriting old records in an attempt to cover up the fact that they had ever talked about it. ..."

"... The right has always understood that the perceptions game is a long game, that you have to rewrite history on a sustained basis to shape the assumptions that govern politics. Work at it steadily, and you have even a liberal Democratic president believing that Social Security only covered widows and orphans at first, that Medicare started small, and that the Clinton-era productivity boom began under Reagan... So of course they’re working hard, right now, to expunge deregulation and shadow banking from the story of the 2008 crisis."


17 December 2010