30 June, 2011

Friendnemies

:-))

Asia Sentinel: Singapore Quiets the South China Sea

The island republic reacts sharply to China's claims to the entire body of water

The South China Sea, roiled by competing claims to the Spratly and other islands, should be in for a period of relative quiet following recent encounters, demonstrations and diplomatic exchanges. However the events of recent weeks and months will leave a lasting mark on the perceptions and attitudes of all the players, particularly those in Southeast Asia.

Of the most recent developments, perhaps the most significant but least noticed in the international media was Singapore's sharp reaction to the activities of a Chinese maritime patrol vessel, the Haixun-31. Singapore has no island claims in that sea and has generally tried to keep on good terms with China despite its key importance to US military capability in the region.

However it does have a very obvious interest in freedom of navigation as a trading and shipping hub. Indeed Singapore's veteran diplomat and lawyer Tommy Koh was president of the 1980-82 conference that resulted in the UN Convention on Law of the Sea, which laid down rules for determining sea boundaries, navigation and sea resources and seabed rights. China ratified this treaty, which came into force in 1994, in 2006, but opted out of its disputes procedure. The United States signed it but Congress has yet to ratify it.

Singapore was angered by the docking of the Haixun 31 in Singapore on June 19 after a journey which took it through the South China Sea and hence through most of the disputed waters and close to some of the disputed islands and rocks. It had been presented to Singapore as the friendly and long-arranged port visit by a non-military vessel. In practice it was no such thing as China's own media itself proclaimed. The People's Daily, official mouthpiece of the Communist Party, said the vessel was carrying out checks on "oil rigs, stationary ships' operations in constructions and surveys…and will conduct checks on foreign ships navigating, anchored and operating in Chinese waters".

In other words the Haixun was set up for just the kind of Chinese harassment of exploration work and fishing activities off their coasts of which Vietnam and the Philippines have been bitterly complaining.

Singapore not only reiterated its own interest in freedom of navigation in the South China Sea but called on China to "clarify its claims with more precision as the current ambiguity as to their extent has caused serious concerns in the international maritime community."

Of course China has no intention of such clarification beyond a general assertion to all islands, rocks and banks in the sea and a vague demarcation line which comes close to the coasts of the adjacent littoral states, well within the 200 miles Exclusive Economic Zones to which they say they are supposedly entitled under the law.

The Haixun voyage thus appears to have backfired on China and forced Singapore into a more openly adversarial posture.

Likewise China's actions have forced the United States to respond to Philippine requests that it reaffirm its commitment to that nation's defense. The US has always taken the position that it is neutral on South China Sea claims and as former colonial ruler had never claimed the Spratlys (which were claimed by the French as part of Vietnam). However Philippine annoyance at what many saw as the US's distancing itself from its former possession combined with pressure on President Benigno S.Aquino III to be seen to respond to repeated Chinese harassment pushed the US to sound more supportive. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton proclaimed "we are determined and committed to supporting the defense of the Philippines" and promised US help to modernize the pitiful Philippine navy and improve its intelligence capability in its waters. The two countries have also launched a small joint naval exercise involving two US missile destroyers.

Meanwhile China and Vietnam have decided to cool things for the moment. After weeks of acrimony and more, they managed a high level meeting on June 26 between Chinese State Councillor Dai Bingguo and Vietnamese deputy Foreign Minister Ho Xuan So, at which they promised to resolve territorial disputes peacefully and in accordance with the Declaration of Conduct on the South China Sea disputes agreed between ASEAN members and China in 2002 – though China insists that the matters are all bilateral and do not involve ASEAN itself. Both sides agreed to "strengthen public opinion to prevent words and actions" from exacerbating the situation. Hence one can expect, for now, a cessation of Chinese harassment of Vietnam's exploration activities and an end to the officially tolerated, if not sponsored, anti-China demonstrations in Vietnam.

But nothing will now stop naval buildups by all parties, an extension of US naval cooperation to Vietnam and the strengthening of US ties with other littoral states including Indonesia and Singapore which lie just outside Chinese claimed areas but too close for comfort.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 

Also read: Bayonet !
 
30 June 2011

Unsustainable

yahoo News:

Obama scolds Congress over debt limit negotiations


Amid ongoing frustration over a failure to reach a compromise on the debt limit, President Obama on Wednesday sharply scolded Congress, suggesting his daughters do a better job of getting things done ahead of time.

"Malia and Sasha generally finish their homework a day ahead of time," Obama said during a press conference--his first major solo conference since March. "Malia's 13, Sasha's 10 … They don't wait until the night before. They're not pulling all nighters. Congress can do the same thing."

The president has been overseeing the negotiation of a compromise between the White House and lawmakers that would pave the way for Congress to agree to increase the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling by the current ceiling's Aug. 2 deadline--the time when economists, the president and others say the government will no longer have tools at its disposal to pay its bills.

Obama said he's "very amused" to hear critics in Congress say he needs to show "more leadership" on this issue. Obama noted that he's met with congressional leaders, all the party caucuses and said "at a certain point, they need to do their job."

The president threatened to effectively "ground" Congress this week ahead of the July 4 recess if a deal is not reached.

"We're going to start having to cancel things and stay here until we get it done" Obama said, intimating that recess would be called off.

"They're in [session] one week. They're out one week. And then they're saying 'Obama's got to step in,'" the president said of Congress. "You need to be here. I've been here," he said to some laughter in the East Room. "I've been doing Afghanistan and [Osama] bin Laden and the Greek crisis."

Obama has tasked Vice Presiden Joe Biden with overseeing debt limit talks among one group of key congressional leaders. Last week, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) announced his decision to pull out of those talks over Democratic demands for an increase in tax revenue which Cantor and other critics say amount simply to tax hikes.

"Regardless of the progress that has been made, the tax issue must be resolved before discussions can continue," Cantor said in a statement.

Republicans say a deal to increase the debt limit must include offsets via spending cuts.

The president on Wednesday claimed that everyone has been willing to take on "their sacred cows" except Republicans--noting that Democrats are willing to examine "painful" spending cuts including to entitlements. Obama cast Republican demands as support for tax breaks for oil and gas companies, corporate jet owners, hedge fund managers and others who he believes don't deserve breaks during a time of national economic crisis.

"If you are a wealthy CEO or a hedge fund manager in America right now, your taxes are lower than they have ever been. They're lower than they've been since the 1950s," Obama said. "And you can afford it. You'll still be able to ride on your corporate jet. You're just going to have to pay a little more."

The president argued that the GOP position of defending tax breaks such as those is "unsustainable" in the face of pressure from the American people to reduce the deficit, repair the economy and boost employment.

Obama and Biden are scheduled to meet with Senate Democrats Wednesday to continue discussions on the debt ceiling. But the parties have yet to say just when that scheduled meeting is supposed to occur in the wake of Cantor's walk-out.

30 June 2011

28 June, 2011

Singapore EP 2011 (latest Update: 02 Aug 2011)


Who will you vote to be our president?

My take is that Dr Tan Cheng Bock and Mr Tan Kin Lian will dilute the opposition votes. Dr Tony Tan will be assured of the "right" and "Centre Right" support. And by herd instinct, the "Centre Left" will gravitate towards him - i.e. TT will win by a slight majority.

Unless either Dr Tan Cheng Bock or Mr Tan Kin Lian withdraw...

I feel that the general populance from the non PAP camp (that may include the potential swing voters from the "left wing" of the PAP), is more receptive of Dr Tan Cheng Bock. This is due to his public persona as portrait by the MSM over the years - being a maverick in the PAP camp and letting his personality show through in recent times. The fact that the make up of the Singaporean psyche tends towards the familiar and tested is also in his favour. And especially with the memory and emotions of the GE2011 so close at the heels of the coming EP, the "anti factor" (towards the "right wing" faction of the PAP establisment) still hold sway. With the exception of TCB's detractors, who cannot separate the good doctor from the PAP.

While Mr Tan Kin Lian was a relative unknown until the "mini bond" saga, when he step up and volunteered to help the victims. But for the majority that were not affacted by the investment scheme/'scam', TKL's public profile may not be as well known compared to TCB's, save for the blogosphere.

Guilty of stereotyping, what is the exacting profile that an insurance company board used to appoint its CEOs? To keep a long story short, my personal belief after reading TKL's blogs and witnessing his action  so far, he will also likely make a good president if he keep up the temerity.

For the Elected Presidency, i think what the people want today is a person whose loyalty is first to the citizens of Singapore

28 June 2011

15 July 2011 - Mr Tan Jee Say has entered the EP 2011 race :-))

Latest Update: Until know, i still do not know "what is" Tan Kin Lian ...???